Supplement 1. Calculations shown in Appendix C. Thompson HobbsN. HilbornRay 2016 <h2>File List</h2><blockquote> <p><a href="Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement1.txt">Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement1.txt</a> -- Contains data collected at Isle Royal National Park (Michigan, USA) during the winter (January and February) from 1971–2001 and prey dependent model predictions and calculations.</p> <p><a href="Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement2.txt">Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement2.txt</a> -- Contains data collected at Isle Royal National Park (Michigan, USA) during the winter (January and February) from 1971–2001 and ratio dependent model predictions and calculations.</p> <p><a href="Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement3.txt">Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement3.txt</a> -- Contains data collected at Isle Royal National Park (Michigan, USA) during the winter (January and February)  from 1971–2001 and predator dependent model predictions and calculations.</p> <p><a href="Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement4.txt">Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement4.txt</a> -- Contains estimates of model selection statistics for the prey dependent, ratio dependent, and predator dependent models.</p> <p><a href="Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement.xls">Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement.xls</a> -- A spreadsheet showing details of the computation. The data files listed above can be downloaded into a spreadsheet of your choice.</p> <p> </p></blockquote><h2>Description</h2><blockquote> <p><b>Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement1.txt</b> contains data collected at Isle Royal National Park (Michigan, USA) during the winter (January and February) from 1971–2001 and prey dependent model predictions and calculations.</p> <p>The file is tab delimited and contains 8 columns and 94 rows.  The columns correspond to the variables listed below, and each row corresponds to a yearly observation, prey dependent model prediction, or calculation.</p> <p><b>Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement1</b></p> -- TABLE: Please see in attached file. -- <p>To make sure the file was downloaded properly, compare the column sums to the following figures: </p> -- TABLE: Please see in attached file. -- <p>There are also calculations based on the data that are indexed in a column to their left (2 columns, 7 rows).  These indices and the calculations they index are:</p> -- TABLE: Please see in attached file. -- <p> </p> <p><b>Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement2.txt</b> contains data collected at IsleRoyalNational Park (Michigan, USA) during the winter (January and February) from 1971–2001 and ratio dependent model predictions and calculations.</p> <p>The file is tab delimited and contains 9 columns and 94 rows.  The columns correspond to the variables listed below, and each row corresponds to a yearly observation, ratio dependent model prediction, or calculation.</p> <p><b>Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement2</b></p> -- TABLE: Please see in attached file. -- <p>To make sure the file was downloaded properly, compare the column sums to the following figures: </p> -- TABLE: Please see in attached file. -- <p>There are also calculations based on the data that are indexed in a column to their left (2 columns, 7 rows).  These indices and the calculations they index are:</p> -- TABLE: Please see in attached file. -- <p> </p> <p><b>Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement3.txt</b> contains data collected at IsleRoyalNational Park (Michigan, USA) during the winter (January and February)  from 1971–2001 and predator dependent model predictions or calculations.</p> <p>The file is tab delimited and contains 10 columns and 94 rows.  The columns correspond to the variables listed below, and each row corresponds to a yearly observation, predator dependent model prediction, or calculation.</p> <p><b>Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement3</b></p> -- TABLE: Please see in attached file. -- <p>To make sure the file was downloaded properly, compare the column sums to the following figures: </p> -- TABLE: Please see in attached file. -- <p>There are also calculations based on the data that are indexed in a column to their left (2 columns, 7 rows.  These indices and the calculations they index are:</p> -- TABLE: Please see in attached file. -- <p> </p> <p><b>Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement4.txt</b> contains estimates of model selection statistics for the prey dependent, ratio dependent, and predator dependent models.</p> <p>The file is tab delimited and contains 5 columns and 4 rows.  The columns correspond to the variables listed below, and each row corresponds to a model type.</p> <p> </p> <p><b>Hobbs_Hilborn_supplement4</b></p> -- TABLE: Please see in attached file. -- <p>To make sure the file was downloaded properly, compare the column sums to the following figures: </p> -- TABLE: Please see in attached file. -- <p> </p> <p><b>Instructions</b></p> <p>To reproduce the results presented in the paper, see the descriptions of the indexed calculations shown above.  To obtain the parameter estimates, use a nonlinear optimization routine to find the values of model parameters that maximize the sum of the log likelihoods.</p> </blockquote> <p> </p>